It is known about two shares A and B that they were issued by enterprises of the same industry.
It is known about two shares A and B that they were issued by enterprises of the same industry. The probability that stock A will rise in price tomorrow is 0.25. The probability that both stocks A and B will rise in price tomorrow is 0.14. Suppose you know that stock A will rise in price tomorrow. What is the likelihood that stock B will rise in price tomorrow?
If stock B rises in price, then only together with stock A.
The likelihood of a rise in the price of shares A and B depends on the likelihood of a rise in the price of share A.
If stock A rises exactly in price, then the probability of this event is 1.
Let x be the probability of a rise in the price of stock B. Stock A and B will rise in price together.
The probability of a rise in the price of stock A is 1.
Let’s compose and solve the equation:
1 / 0.25 = x / 0.14;
x = 1 * 0.14 / 0.25;
x = 0.56.
The probability of a rise in the price of share B is 0.56.